Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000146 0.000162 0.000178 0.000198 0.000220 0.000243 0.000271
2025-04-20 0.000117 0.000139 0.000165 0.000198 0.000239 0.000287 0.000349
2025-04-27 0.000101 0.000127 0.000159 0.000202 0.000259 0.000332 0.000433
2025-05-04 0.000088 0.000115 0.000151 0.000201 0.000271 0.000366 0.000508
2025-05-11 0.000079 0.000108 0.000146 0.000203 0.000286 0.000405 0.000592
2025-05-18 0.000071 0.000100 0.000140 0.000202 0.000295 0.000436 0.000667
2025-05-25 0.000065 0.000093 0.000135 0.000200 0.000304 0.000465 0.000744
2025-06-01 0.000059 0.000087 0.000129 0.000197 0.000309 0.000490 0.000817
2025-06-08 0.000053 0.000080 0.000121 0.000191 0.000307 0.000503 0.000870
2025-06-15 0.000050 0.000077 0.000120 0.000193 0.000321 0.000542 0.000975
2025-06-22 0.000048 0.000075 0.000119 0.000197 0.000337 0.000588 0.001099
2025-06-29 0.000044 0.000070 0.000113 0.000192 0.000336 0.000603 0.001165
2025-07-06 0.000039 0.000064 0.000105 0.000182 0.000327 0.000603 0.001204
2025-07-13 0.000037 0.000061 0.000103 0.000182 0.000337 0.000642 0.001334
2025-07-20 0.000035 0.000060 0.000102 0.000186 0.000354 0.000696 0.001508
2025-07-27 0.000033 0.000057 0.000100 0.000185 0.000361 0.000733 0.001649
2025-08-03 0.000031 0.000055 0.000098 0.000187 0.000375 0.000783 0.001831
2025-08-10 0.000030 0.000053 0.000096 0.000185 0.000381 0.000820 0.001986
2025-08-17 0.000028 0.000050 0.000093 0.000184 0.000387 0.000855 0.002146
2025-08-24 0.000026 0.000048 0.000090 0.000181 0.000390 0.000885 0.002296
2025-08-31 0.000024 0.000045 0.000086 0.000175 0.000384 0.000892 0.002384
2025-09-07 0.000023 0.000044 0.000085 0.000177 0.000398 0.000950 0.002634
2025-09-14 0.000023 0.000043 0.000085 0.000181 0.000416 0.001021 0.002937